Finished-Portrait
0xf440c7ea7217dfe59b6197f14ba8274df889a900
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$31.00
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
11 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$11.16
$0.16
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?
8 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$8.44
$0.44
- YES
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
2 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$2.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
2 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$2.12
$0.12
- NO
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1 shares @ 71.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Putin go on Lex Fridman before March?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before March?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
AfD banned before German election?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpenSea airdrop before April?$1.00Feb 19, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$11.00Feb 19, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?$1.00Feb 19, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Jazz$0.00Feb 19, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?$0.00Feb 19, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMEvidence released proving JFK was assassinated by a foreign government by Feb 10? $1.00Feb 19, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?$1.00Feb 19, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?$1.02Feb 19, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everton win on 2024-12-07?$1.14Feb 19, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEM6.0+ earthquake in Mediterranean by next Friday?$2.08Feb 19, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreens win over 15% of vote in German election? $1.00Feb 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?$1.00Feb 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY6.0+ earthquake in Mediterranean by next Friday?$1.00Feb 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY6.0+ earthquake in Mediterranean by next Friday?$1.00Feb 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Jazz$1.00Feb 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?$1.00Feb 9, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton win on 2024-12-07?$1.00Feb 9, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvidence released proving JFK was assassinated by a foreign government by Feb 10? $1.00Feb 9, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".