Sympathetic-Tea
0xf44872e4f9a09e86ae41570a254aab35c84bf335
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$2.39
Total PnL
$-382.79
Realised
$-62.85
Win rate
5%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
2 shares @ 83.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$2.39
$0.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?
361 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11AM ET
23 shares @ 74.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
22 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
21 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
18 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8AM ET
18 shares @ 79.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
12 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ET
11 shares @ 70.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
9 shares @ 54.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.01Aug 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.01Aug 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.10Aug 13, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.64Aug 13, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.02Aug 13, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.38Aug 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.02Aug 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.24Aug 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.38Aug 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.04Aug 13, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.01Aug 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$0.94Aug 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.04Aug 13, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3.34Aug 13, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.02Aug 13, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 14:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.