Clever-Highlight
0xf44ba8785e50476450026f65d6a2cc256d11eeea
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.42
Realised
$-40.76
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?
259 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
24 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
17 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
13 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?$24.15Jun 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?$4.80Jun 22, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$4.18Mar 23, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$3.00Mar 23, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.00Mar 19, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Mar 14, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$0.00Mar 14, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$2.20Mar 14, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.00Mar 14, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$5.00Mar 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$5.00Mar 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$5.00Mar 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$14.00Mar 14, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.00Mar 14, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$4.80Mar 14, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$5.50Mar 14, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.58Mar 14, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$11.39Mar 14, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.03Mar 14, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Mar 14, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.