Grounded-Bond
0xf44c7a634dee01a03d7462f620e9e76bdbb6f3d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District be the tipping point jurisdiction?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump win 5 swing states?
4852 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-136.33
- YES
Will New Hampshire be the tipping point state?
4444 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump win 4 swing states?
4324 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.32
- YES
Will Maine be the tipping point state?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will there be 135,000,000-140,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
1971 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-36.85
- NO
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
1325 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?
1282 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election?
1179 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will a Democrat win Rhode Island Presidential Election?
1154 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$2.21Nov 6, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$1.65Nov 6, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$3.86Nov 6, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$25.63Nov 6, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$3.94Nov 6, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$15.00Nov 6, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$0.78Nov 6, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 4 swing states?$0.20Nov 6, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$10.00Nov 6, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$11.00Nov 6, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?$2.00Nov 6, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 4 swing states?$0.13Nov 6, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 6 swing states?$15.00Nov 6, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$8.80Nov 6, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$1.00Nov 6, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$0.20Nov 6, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 6 swing states?$17.00Nov 6, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$68.00Nov 6, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$13.23Nov 6, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$46.77Nov 6, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $33.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.