Simple-Debris
0xf451ce6d2fc2071df3599233ed70a79a36b08d9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$82.18
Total PnL
$3.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
48 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$47.87
$2.87
- NO
North Korea missile launch by October 15?
25 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$25.05
$0.05
- YES
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.17
$0.17
- NO
Xi Jinping out before October?
2 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$2.09
$0.09
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Maduro out in 2025?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
1 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by October 15?$25.00Oct 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$45.00Oct 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Sep 8, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$1.00Sep 1, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?$1.00Aug 20, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Aug 11, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$1.00Aug 8, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$1.00Jul 29, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?$1.00Jul 22, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$2.00Jul 11, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $7.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".