Serious-Clipboard
0xf451d4529e0e4ec595003950730f7093890ebcf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-415.12
Realised
$-9.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?
15247 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?
1513 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.70
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
1446 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
939 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?
829 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 0 straight weeks?
728 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
607 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
584 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$10.00Jan 8, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$17.00Jan 4, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$14.00Jan 4, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$40.70Jan 4, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?$12.63Jan 3, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?$120.00Jan 3, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?$120.00Jan 3, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a token in 2025?$17.00Aug 16, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$17.76Aug 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$17.70Aug 15, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$10.00Aug 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?$15.00Aug 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 BMW Championship?$32.13Aug 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$9.84Aug 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 0 straight weeks?$25.00Aug 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth win on 2025-08-15?$15.00Aug 15, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$1.00Aug 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?$10.00Aug 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELL Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$10.57Aug 15, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00Aug 15, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $23.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 03:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".