Double-Caravan
0xf45419118aee433ed5d15f3fd752ea8022ff7bcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-258.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
444 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-144.94
- YES
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
419 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-46.11
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
244 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-67.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.67Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$0.75Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.92Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$0.94Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.95Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?$0.93Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.93Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.87Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.96Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$0.97Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.93Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$0.83Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.98Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.01Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.93Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.50Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.50Nov 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 4, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Nov 4, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $75.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 03:43 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.