Excitable-Payoff
0xf45a95ef11e06f3f253303bb89da203bd8a4a754
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.21
Total PnL
$-30.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 18?
2656 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 18?
1106 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 18?
787 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 18?
540 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Itzy release a song in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 18?
375 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on May 18?$1.05May 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 18?$1.05May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 18?$2.10May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 18?$5.25May 17, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 18?$5.25May 17, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYZendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?$1.05May 17, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itzy release a song in 2026?$1.05May 17, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?$1.03May 17, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$1.04May 17, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$5.20May 17, 15:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.