Thrifty-Noun
0xf45f5a99cec0a3aa7376f688b20efcd5d23e2634
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.07
Total PnL
$-388.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
306 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$-18.93
- YES
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
1825 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-253.35
- YES
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
251 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration?
203 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?
138 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
114 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Chelsea wins the Premier League?
91 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-16.67
- YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-21?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?$9.72Jan 24, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$20.00Jan 19, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?$8.73Jan 16, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$13.01Jan 16, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$24.35Jan 16, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?$15.00Jan 13, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$41.70Jan 13, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$46.41Jan 13, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$152.43Jan 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Jan 6, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Jan 6, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$20.00Jan 6, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?$25.00Jan 2, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$49.18Jan 2, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?$25.00Dec 10, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?$20.00Dec 10, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$30.00Dec 10, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelensky resigns in 2025?$253.35Jul 26, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold missing from Fort Knox?$20.00Feb 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?$10.00Jan 20, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $40.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".