Alarmed-Formamide
0xf4640d9b9a6955ddf287afa2be0665f02e8f4761
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$240.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany U21 beat England U21 in regular time?
2040 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2025$0.00
$-498.40
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
1500 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-435.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?
1000 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-530.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?
650 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-325.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?
182 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-72.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?$17.80Nov 5, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?$2.22Nov 5, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?$10.63Nov 5, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?$10.00Nov 5, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?$8.00Nov 5, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?$24.15Nov 5, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?$1.00Nov 5, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?$117.00Nov 5, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?$207.00Nov 5, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLGrokipedia released by October 31?$0.06Oct 28, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?$530.00Oct 25, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?$300.00Oct 22, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?$59.00Oct 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?$58.00Oct 21, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?$59.00Oct 21, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $190 on October 21?$479.50Oct 21, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by October 31?$4.85Oct 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by October 31?$5.95Oct 21, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $190 on October 21?$55.00Oct 21, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$25.49Oct 19, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $60.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.