Fine-Recreation
0xf467bba0566c8a8728c4ff164ac98783b9e31c8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$13.79
Total PnL
$-7.17
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
6 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$6.23
$0.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 20-26?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$2.41
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 25?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 10?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$1.63
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.51
$0.01
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul fight Conor McGregor next?
4 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
OpenSea airdrop before April?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 10?$1.60Nov 8, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $200 on October 25?$2.00Oct 25, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 20-26?$2.40Oct 25, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by October 31?$1.50Oct 25, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$413.57Oct 24, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$414.00Oct 24, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?$407.59Oct 23, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?$408.00Oct 23, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$6.00Oct 23, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$0.19Oct 23, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown in 2025?$0.20Oct 23, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?$0.20Oct 23, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMNew arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?$0.34Oct 23, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SBF launch a coin by September 30?$0.67Oct 23, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on September 30?$1.49Oct 23, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$3.05Oct 23, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?$4.44Oct 23, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMJumper airdrop in Q3 2025?$5.31Oct 23, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$6.57Oct 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SBF launch a coin by September 30?$3.99Sep 29, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $48.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 17:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.