Minor-Stumbling
0xf46bca13c00e37e27689811547c5f4f2a47ae16d
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
1900 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
1733 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
952 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
950 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?
722 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2024$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
690 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?
520 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?
270 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$100.00Mar 3, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$300.00Mar 3, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$200.00Feb 20, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$200.00Jan 14, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$200.00Jan 13, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$100.00Jan 12, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$0.00Jan 11, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$65.00Nov 20, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?$65.00Nov 20, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? $26.00Nov 20, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq before December?$35.00Nov 20, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYChopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?$100.00Nov 20, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$200.00Nov 20, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $132.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.