Wallet digest

active

Activity score

31/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-96.6K

Realised

$-58.8K

Win rate

198 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
2968 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-250.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
2124 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-35.45
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
2016 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-64.72
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
1915 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-897.95
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
1892 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-913.38
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
1852 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-862.44
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
1822 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-843.37
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
1714 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-803.94
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
1642 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-17.33
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
1400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-700.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$54.06Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$54.27Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$62.52Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$87.72Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$107.13Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$120.47Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$153.55Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$154.77Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$169.90Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$180.17Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$193.34Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$195.24Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$203.14Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$347.34Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$418.12Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$451.61Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$551.94Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$700.00Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$700.00Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$26.82Feb 16, 15:49 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity37 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry71 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk33 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 30
Avg trade size: $44.36
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 16, 15:40 UTC
Last active: Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
Win rate sample: 198 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:01:50 UTC·src:Polymarket Data