0xf46dc16f2fe3334557d3f368a531c00b1e1faae7
0xf46dc16f2fe3334557d3f368a531c00b1e1faae7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-925.39
Realised
$-71.28
Win rate
0%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 30?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 29?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 29?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 2?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 30?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 30?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 30?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
77 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 30?$6.00Jul 31, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 30?$7.00Jul 31, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 29?$6.00Jul 30, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 29?$6.00Jul 30, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 28?$6.98Jul 29, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28?$6.00Jul 29, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?$7.00Jul 29, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 27?$6.00Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 27?$6.00Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 27?$6.00Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 30?$0.80Jul 28, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 30?$5.18Jul 28, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 30?$4.00Jul 28, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$5.18Jul 27, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 29?$4.68Jul 27, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 29?$4.73Jul 27, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 29?$3.75Jul 27, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 28?$1.40Jul 27, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 28?$3.50Jul 27, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 25?$7.00Jul 27, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
35 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.