Major-Porcupine
0xf4721ff3e277b194c5421d90a25cf584900687c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$336.85
Total PnL
$-1.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
179 shares @ 26.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$178.96
$131.53
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
158 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$157.89
$127.89
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
2228 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-79.65
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
951 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-81.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$18.43Feb 27, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$29.00Feb 27, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$30.00Feb 27, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.97Jan 31, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$60.13Jan 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$60.00Jan 28, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$19.65Jan 28, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$100.00Jan 28, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $42.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 13:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.