0xf475402430f3dc9611abeea737fe69dd02f48486
0xf475402430f3dc9611abeea737fe69dd02f48486
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
198
Open notional
$9.2K
Total PnL
$5.4K
Realised
$4.5K
Win rate
81%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 198- NO
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?
1061 shares @ 94.3¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$993.47
$-6.77
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
3073 shares @ 3.2¢·now 29.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$906.48
$807.35
- NO
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 The Open Championship?
532 shares @ 98.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$520.30
$-4.26
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
3073 shares @ 3.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$384.10
$284.98
- YES
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
1165 shares @ 6.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$308.69
$235.88
- NO
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 The Open Championship?
302 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$300.19
$0.60
- YES
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
2532 shares @ 3.2¢·now 9.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$236.77
$155.09
- YES
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
2962 shares @ 3.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$223.66
$128.10
- NO
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 The Open Championship?
225 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$222.97
$-0.90
- YES
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?
3073 shares @ 3.2¢·now 7.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$219.40
$120.28
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
81% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.