Noted-Pony
0xf4771c5417a467fce9ffcbc0ca4631e57fff1c28
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
33833 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.7K
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?
2336 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-379.99
- YES
Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?
426 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-163.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by October 31?
344 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- BROWNS
49ers vs. Browns
141 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
56 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by October 31?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$4.22Dec 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$61.53Dec 23, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$1.01Dec 22, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$0.99Dec 22, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$3.80Dec 22, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$3.70Dec 22, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$3.60Dec 22, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$11.63Dec 22, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$1.24Dec 22, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$14.47Dec 22, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$17.00Dec 22, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$16.16Dec 22, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$10.50Dec 22, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$2.28Dec 22, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$0.40Dec 22, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$8.34Dec 22, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$17.04Dec 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$3.60Dec 20, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$20.36Dec 20, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$15.00Dec 20, 03:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $23.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 23, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.