Tired-Vermicelli
0xf478374a9f84432c9c419e936332a27a51aad269
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$9.63
Total PnL
$-11.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
103 shares @ 6.8¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.63
$2.63
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2280 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2278 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2272 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2272 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2270 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2270 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2268 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2264 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2264 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.00Mar 26, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? $7.00Mar 26, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? $6.94Feb 5, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $0.74Feb 5, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.01Feb 5, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.09Feb 5, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.13Feb 5, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $1.00Jan 16, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 16, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.3KJan 6, 09:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $324.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".