Bumpy-Glory
0xf47e30ad7b0792eea46289e117ef276f2d494f43
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$156.17
Total PnL
$-170.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
34 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.06
$1.06
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
30 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.63
$5.63
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
28 shares @ 89.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.00
$3.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
20 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$20.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
15 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$15.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
9 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
9 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$8.81
$0.31
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
417 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$10.03May 10, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$15.03May 10, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$33.04May 10, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$24.18May 10, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$25.13May 10, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$8.51May 10, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$9.02May 10, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$20.02May 10, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$16.25May 10, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$30.15May 10, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$34.86May 10, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$45.93May 10, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$13.30May 10, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$23.18May 10, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$35.00Feb 11, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$17.39Feb 11, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$11.11Feb 4, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$12.77Feb 4, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?$21.23Feb 4, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$36.00Feb 4, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $22.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 12:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.