Plush-Litigation
0xf47f93938dad3a7adf288e7a2af0cc59f8db3ee0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-99.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will PSG vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw after regulation time?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cole Palmer win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Federico Valverde win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alexander Isak win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich beat PSG in regulation time?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jose Vinicius Junior win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Federico Valverde win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gianluigi Donnarumma win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill de Goes Rodrygo win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virgil van Dijk win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Vinicius Junior win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Isak win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cole Palmer win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 21, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Sep 21, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Sep 21, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Sep 21, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Jul 5, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw after regulation time?$1.00Jul 5, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich beat PSG in regulation time?$1.00Jul 5, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw after regulation time?$1.00Jul 5, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1.00Jul 5, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 21, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.