Bouncy-Morale
0xf4811fb21a9d52041f940d53ba90e4e2e132198b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$184.63
Total PnL
$-170.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 30?
185 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$184.63
$1.76
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24?
218 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?
212 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 31?
208 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 28?
204 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will Solana reach $90 March 30-April 5?
195 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.50 on March 22?
179 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?
151 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 20, 6AM ET
147 shares @ 89.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-131.94
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 21?
92 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 30?$182.86Jul 29, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on July 7?$224.88Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on July 7?$223.53Jul 6, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 25?$229.26May 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 25?$224.90May 24, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 25?$2.23May 24, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 19?$119.26May 17, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 May 4-10?$198.57May 11, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$1.44May 10, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 May 4-10?$197.18May 10, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 16?$187.14May 10, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on April 10?$190.99Apr 30, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 17?$0.00Apr 20, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 19?$115.80Apr 18, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 16?$185.83Apr 16, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 26?$0.00Apr 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 10?$6.78Apr 10, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 10?$178.48Apr 10, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 March 30-April 5?$2.31Apr 5, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in March?$236.31Apr 5, 23:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $89.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 19:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.