Reliable-West-Ringworm
0xf48185b4216f5d80f8518f75795b0ad69565f6f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-15.50
Win rate
16%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
554 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
392 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
210 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET
110 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
73 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
59 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-29.48
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
55 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-28.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
55 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
47 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
46 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-27.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$5.31Jun 13, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$2.64Jun 13, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$3.29Jun 13, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$8.94Jun 13, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$7.08Jun 13, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$6.70Jun 13, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$3.20Jun 13, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$2.74Jun 13, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$6.19Jun 13, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$8.32Jun 13, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$2.54Jun 13, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$4.79Jun 13, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$8.00Jun 13, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.95Jun 13, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$5.68Jun 13, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$4.33Jun 13, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$4.32Jun 13, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$5.30Jun 12, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$3.79Jun 12, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$5.15Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
16% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.