Firsthand-Registry
0xf49d0b217d3b7545313ab940ed649eb05c4fb6be
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-129.26
Realised
$5.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$7.00
- YES
Will Aubrey Norton win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?
186 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.78
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?
182 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-64.48
- YES
Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?
140 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-23.80
- YES
Will Trump Media buy Ethereum in 2025?
85 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.52
- NO
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?
36 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- NO
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
15 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?$27.09Aug 14, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?$23.80Aug 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?$9.10Aug 14, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?$12.24Aug 14, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?$10.50Aug 14, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?$8.84Aug 14, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubrey Norton win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?$1.68Aug 14, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubrey Norton win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?$1.40Aug 14, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubrey Norton win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?$0.30Aug 14, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubrey Norton win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?$1.20Aug 14, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubrey Norton win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?$3.60Aug 14, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubrey Norton win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?$3.60Aug 14, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Media buy Ethereum in 2025?$34.34Aug 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$10.58Aug 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$3.96Aug 12, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$1.14Aug 12, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$1.65Aug 12, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?$22.68Aug 11, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?$13.00Aug 6, 05:12 UTC
- REWARD$2.50Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $12.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".