Fickle-Outlay
0xf49ded4b0c5c86687cfcfca354a7b06628137e5b
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$21.0K
Total PnL
$-14.5K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
9682 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$8.8K
$0.00
- YES
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?
7319 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$7.3K
$412.56
- YES
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week?
2875 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$2.9K
$69.50
- YES
Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
1938 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.9K
$38.82
- YES
Will Fabian get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
106 shares @ 75.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$53.00
$-26.50
- NO
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
19131 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.5K
- YES
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
8166 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
5554 shares @ 78.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- NO
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
2028 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
1188 shares @ 71.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-844.34
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.708d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$475.878d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$6.478d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$13.198d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$56.208d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$420.958d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$19.858d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week?$833.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week?$245.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$16.028d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$9.808d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$1.8K8d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$89.408d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$441.958d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$172.978d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$98.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$1.6K8d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?$22.398d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$147.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$3.138d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $263.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 8d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.