Complicated-Terminology
0xf4a4ea59bfb303801177a1962ef2ed029eae75a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 24?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$5.00
$0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
17000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-8.0K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 15?
9396 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 15?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?$4.99Feb 24, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 24?$4.98Feb 24, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$87.80Feb 24, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$87.71Feb 15, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 15?$3.00Feb 15, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 15?$9.40Feb 15, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$100.11Dec 27, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$85.04Dec 26, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$14.96Dec 26, 15:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Dec 26, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$8.0KDec 25, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on December 24?$2.85Dec 25, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $110 on December 24?$5.00Dec 25, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $170 on December 24?$5.00Dec 25, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 24?$10.00Dec 25, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on December 24?$10.00Dec 25, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on December 24?$20.00Dec 25, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$9.4KDec 25, 15:50 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$9.4KDec 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.4KDec 25, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.