Scornful-Railway
0xf4a8ed7a830978217e770b3063a3e91d5ea42a70
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-242.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
77 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
74 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
67 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
66 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
59 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
40 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
36 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.26Nov 29, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$131.66Nov 4, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Nov 4, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Nov 4, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.00Nov 2, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$140.00Nov 2, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$10.20Nov 1, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.00Nov 1, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.00Nov 1, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.84Nov 1, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Nov 1, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.00Nov 1, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$2.79Nov 1, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5.00Nov 1, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$100.70Oct 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 29, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$34.33Oct 29, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$23.00Oct 29, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.40Oct 29, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$20.00Oct 29, 13:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $22.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.