0xf4aa7c3f1029782c4620ad412bbe385f261cfa8b
0xf4aa7c3f1029782c4620ad412bbe385f261cfa8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$99.90
Total PnL
$0.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$550 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$11.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
6 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 17 above $450?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$6.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 45°F or higher on November 20?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$6.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in November 2025?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$6.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 46°F or higher on November 19?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 17 above $235?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.42
$0.02
- NO
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$5.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 17 above $50?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$5.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStable FDV above $6B one day after launch?$5.40Dec 8, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$550 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$5.00Nov 19, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$550 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$6.00Nov 19, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) finish week of November 17 above $150?$5.00Nov 19, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 17 above $50?$5.00Nov 19, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 17 above $235?$6.00Nov 19, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 17 above $255?$5.00Nov 19, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?$6.00Nov 19, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 17 above $450?$6.00Nov 19, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$5.00Nov 19, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Nov 19, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 35-36°F on November 20?$4.00Nov 19, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 45°F or higher on November 20?$6.00Nov 19, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in November 2025?$4.00Nov 19, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in November 2025?$6.00Nov 19, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or higher on November 19?$5.00Nov 19, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 46°F or higher on November 19?$6.00Nov 19, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?$4.00Nov 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at >$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$5.00Nov 19, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$390.00Nov 16, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 13:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".