Quarrelsome-Calm
0xf4b13fea865321d231b515e8786c62e6f561ab63
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
144
Open notional
$931.76
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$51.98
Win rate
31%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
345 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$320.52
$20.52
- NO
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
207 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.41
$3.41
- NO
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
148 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.87
$15.48
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.55
$0.55
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
90 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.46
$2.47
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
50 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.60
$2.60
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
23 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.35
$1.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 19?
1382 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-12.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on April 24?
1186 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-75.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 2?
1144 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-28.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Czechia (-1.5)$41.00Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Mexico (-2.5)$68.00Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$211.45Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$231.79Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$296.31Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$352.94Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.73Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.31Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Czechia (-1.5)$36.21Jun 11, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-2.5)$55.39Jun 11, 14:00 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.58Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.36Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.82Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.97Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $58.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.