Amusing-Kebab
0xf4b9eca670cf7f93ace08d8069220fcc2eeef1a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$27.14
Total PnL
$3.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?
9 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$8.78
$2.37
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
8 shares @ 73.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$8.50
$2.28
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
4 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$4.42
$2.83
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
4 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$4.00
$2.84
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.44
$-1.24
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.16Aug 1, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.68Jul 19, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?$6.41Jul 12, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.22Jul 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.19Jul 11, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?$0.00Jun 26, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2600 on June 17?$0.00Jun 26, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2600 on June 17?$3.60Jun 17, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?$2.03Jun 17, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.59Jun 16, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$4.40May 9, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$1.63May 2, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.00Feb 7, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$2.71Feb 7, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin all time high by January 31?$16.66Feb 7, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,500 by January 31, 2025?$18.97Feb 7, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin all time high by January 31?$16.64Jan 31, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$2.70Jan 30, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,500 by January 31, 2025?$18.95Jan 30, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$14.56Jan 21, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".