Grimy-Bunch
0xf4bf158e2f5778a52ec9f36589164d501f50a724
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$4.15
Total PnL
$-25.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2850 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 31, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 19, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.01Jan 16, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 16, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.03Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.06Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$2.01Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.04Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$4.18Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.06Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMKinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.01Dec 3, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?$1.01Dec 3, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Dec 2, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00Nov 28, 03:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 06:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.