Grounded-Thinking
0xf4c1f89c91e3f6cba98906a71c3afaabf0fed80e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$95.50
Total PnL
$-1.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?
50 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$49.33
$-0.27
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?
35 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$34.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $216 in May?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 in May?
55 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.24
$-0.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 in May?$1.95May 14, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 in May?$0.20May 14, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $216 in May?$5.00May 14, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?$5.00May 14, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?$49.62May 14, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$35.00May 14, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 15?$1.00Jan 16, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $160 on January 15?$1.00Jan 16, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 15?$1.00Jan 16, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 15?$1.00Jan 16, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 15?$4.01Jan 16, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15?$5.00Jan 16, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 15?$6.01Jan 16, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 15?$1.00Jan 15, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 15?$4.00Jan 15, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $160 on January 15?$1.00Jan 15, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 15?$1.00Jan 15, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 15?$1.00Jan 15, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 15?$1.00Jan 15, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 15?$5.00Jan 15, 11:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".