Deafening-Peasant
0xf4c4aa5c09121f746f5c44f86c6c4b1220d9206d
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$5.4K
Realised
$5.9K
Win rate
86%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
321 shares @ 68.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-221.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
173 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-103.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
28 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
28 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
27 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
26 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
26 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
24 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
21 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6PM ET
21 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$189.00Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$191.23Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$129.74Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$302.19Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$256.58Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$348.69Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$241.15Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$266.42Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$224.92Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$152.74Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$378.59Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$278.92Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$249.50Jun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$327.14Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$297.66Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$135.18Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$168.36Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$200.31Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$343.62Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$434.83Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
36 closed markets, 86% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.