Skeletal-Alley
0xf4c8c907a451d2a2971ea75704a892790f8ead22
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$9.59
Total PnL
$-609.48
Realised
$15.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$9.59
$-0.41
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
456 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?
402 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
293 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
219 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
174 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
142 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
140 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
134 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.12Jun 7, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$215.05May 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$200.00May 21, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?$10.00Mar 9, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 9, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$10.00Mar 9, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$100.00Mar 8, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?$10.00Mar 8, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$10.00Mar 8, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.00Mar 8, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 8, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 8, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 8, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 8, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 8, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 8, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 4, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$315.92Mar 3, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$50.00Mar 3, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$30.00Mar 3, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $69.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 21:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.