0xf4ceb1c82f11d727933c226c149d9a833a078c57
0xf4ceb1c82f11d727933c226c149d9a833a078c57
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$140.10
Total PnL
$174.33
Realised
$509.84
Win rate
82%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021?
66 shares @ 59.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2021$66.48
$27.15
- NO
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021?
43 shares @ 22.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2021$43.45
$33.83
- NO
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
18 shares @ 38.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2021$17.95
$11.05
- YES
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $36 on April 27, 2021?
4 shares @ 43.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2021$4.44
$2.52
- NO
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021?
3 shares @ 63.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2021$2.68
$0.97
- YES
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
2 shares @ 88.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2021$1.86
$0.22
- NO
Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021?
1 shares @ 47.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2021$1.16
$0.61
- YES
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21?
1 shares @ 84.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2021$1.07
$0.17
- NO
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1?
1 shares @ 79.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2021$1.01
$0.21
- YES
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
2933 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2021$0.00
$-66.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill PSG or Bayern win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw?$0.05May 27, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWhat will the price of $LINK be on April 27, 2021?$10.62May 27, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool or Real Madrid win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw?$0.19May 27, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea or Porto win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw?$40.23May 27, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the average Ethereum gas price be below 170 Gwei on April 19?$2.41May 27, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22?$1.06May 27, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April?$94.14May 27, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021?$200.38May 27, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars?$0.00May 27, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWhat will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading?$3.17May 27, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars?$149.16May 27, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021?$165.11May 27, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021?$141.77May 27, 02:09 UTC
- MERGEWill Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021?$17.62Apr 13, 15:25 UTC
- MERGEWill Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021?$203.13Apr 13, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021?$290.05Apr 11, 02:54 UTC
- MERGEWill Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021?$30.27Mar 30, 10:20 UTC
- MERGEWill Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021?$0.00Mar 30, 10:11 UTC
- MERGEWill Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021?$32.72Mar 30, 10:11 UTC
- MERGEWill Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021?$15.37Mar 30, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".