Far-Thyme
0xf4d7ebebded8122cf40b98386cfd0fd1663e8f25
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$56.03
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
472 shares @ 5.3¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.01
$4.01
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
7 shares @ 76.7¢·now 69.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.52
$-0.48
- LABOUR
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
4 shares @ 68.7¢·now 51.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$2.23
$-0.77
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$2.09
$1.09
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$2.05
$1.05
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.38
$0.38
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$5.56Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$0.78Jun 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?$0.69Jun 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$1.03Jun 13, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.43Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$1.05Jun 10, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$1.03Jun 10, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 10, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)$1.01Jun 10, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-19?$1.02Jun 10, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$1.01Jun 10, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 10, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.01Jun 10, 11:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.