Good-Natured-Refuge
0xf4da0032aff5b65e8eafdc1045e9ad0ecd4d1966
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-250.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
198 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- ROYALS
Yankees vs Royals Series Winner
109 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- COMMANDERS
Commanders vs. Eagles
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$102.46May 30, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Eagles$20.00Jan 26, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYYankees vs Royals Series Winner$30.00Oct 8, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Aug 10, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$22.18Aug 5, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$20.00Aug 4, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$2.70Aug 4, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$20.25Jul 24, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $39.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.