Costly-Production
0xf4e796d767fb6436cff0d39cb767a00948434d0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$9.69
Total PnL
$-76.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
43 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Mali win on 2026-06-04?
43 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?
27 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.64Jun 13, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$5.08Jun 12, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$10.25Jun 11, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$10.27Jun 11, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-08?$12.64Jun 11, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$12.82Jun 11, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$10.07Jun 7, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-08?$11.04Jun 7, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-06?$21.31Jun 7, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-06?$13.15Jun 5, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-04?$12.99Jun 5, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mali win on 2026-06-04?$12.26Jun 4, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$10.02Jun 4, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-04?$10.07Jun 4, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win on 2026-06-03?$30.30Jun 4, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win on 2026-06-03?$20.20Jun 3, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-02?$22.47Jun 3, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?$11.19Jun 2, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win on 2026-06-02?$20.32Jun 2, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-02?$20.07Jun 2, 04:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $12.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.