Virtual-Xylophone
0xf4e949ace7f5c3ca20f54378627e0f113dcbf3f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?$5.40Jul 3, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$5.71Jul 3, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the 2025 UEFA European U21 Championship?$0.00Jun 30, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2025 UEFA European U21 Championship?$9.80Jun 24, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.34Jun 24, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$7.16Jun 24, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$17.60Jun 24, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$26.00Jun 23, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMUEFA European U21: Germany vs. Italy (To Advance) $27.00Jun 23, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA European U21: Germany vs. Italy (To Advance) $18.09Jun 22, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? $13.00Jun 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? $14.00Jun 14, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.20Jun 13, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$18.12Jun 13, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$34.00Jun 8, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$34.00Jun 8, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.61Jun 7, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$34.00Jun 4, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill valid votes be between 32 million and 34 million in South Korean election?$0.00Jun 4, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$5.84Jun 3, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $13.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.