Alarming-Ketch
0xf4ea6cb3ea41a77c60433effe18618675cc87ef6
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$254.71
Total PnL
$-298.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 22?
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$17.99
$3.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$16.41
$1.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?
21 shares @ 71.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$15.00
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 23?
22 shares @ 67.3¢·now 67.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$14.91
$-0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?
19 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$14.68
$0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 22?
21 shares @ 72.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$14.32
$-0.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?
20 shares @ 71.8¢·now 67.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$13.53
$-0.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 22?
20 shares @ 71.6¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$12.73
$-1.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 22?
20 shares @ 74.2¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$12.26
$-2.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 22?
19 shares @ 74.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$12.04
$-2.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 23?$9.37May 22, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 23?$5.45May 22, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 23?$9.84May 22, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?$5.35May 22, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?$9.84May 22, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 22?$4.68May 22, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 22?$9.88May 22, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?$9.93May 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?$9.61May 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?$9.89May 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 23?$9.84May 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 23?$9.78May 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 23?$9.77May 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 22?$4.45May 21, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 22?$6.17May 21, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?$4.68May 21, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?$10.02May 21, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 22?$5.04May 21, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$4.80May 21, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 22?$7.21May 21, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".