Skinny-Gunpowder
0xf4efd268587ad9a7d69bb8a8e67810d485ebb39d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 6AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win by less than 130 seats?$1.00Feb 8, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?$1.00Feb 8, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$1.00Jan 27, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 27, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?$1.00Jan 27, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Jan 27, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Jan 27, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$7.58Jan 9, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 9?$1.00Jan 9, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 9?$1.00Jan 9, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 9, 6AM ET$1.00Jan 9, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$3.00Jan 9, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Jan 9, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$4.24Jan 9, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Jan 9, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$3.00Jan 9, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".