Costly-Hallway
0xf4f0f2efdb1b6734d31de75741e6bd2eb18af0fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$35.68
Total PnL
$-11.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.89
$3.89
- YES
Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
3 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Kraken IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?$1.00Nov 22, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ANO form a government after Czech election ?$5.00Nov 20, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $120 on November 17?$1.00Nov 17, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 17, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 9, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a token in 2025?$1.00Oct 3, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO in 2025?$1.00Oct 3, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYYieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Oct 3, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYYieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 3, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meteora launch a token in 2025?$1.00Oct 3, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$10.00Oct 3, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released in 2025?$1.00Oct 2, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Oct 2, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $1.00Oct 2, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Oct 2, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$5.00Oct 1, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$3.00Sep 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.00Sep 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$3.00Sep 27, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$3.00Sep 19, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 22, 02:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".