Firsthand-Shoehorn
0xf4f18ace21c8bfbc6fed92858d7ecceaa7cdf07c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$-49.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$20.00
$7.80
- YES
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$6.00
- NO
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
20 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$20.00
$9.20
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?
30 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?$11.10Jan 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$14.00Jan 21, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$8.00Jan 21, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$12.20Jan 21, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$17.28Jan 21, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$0.17Jan 21, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?$18.00Jan 21, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$17.55Jan 21, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?$0.00Jan 21, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?$0.00Jan 21, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Korean President impeached in 2024?$0.00Jan 21, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$0.00Jan 21, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Chess Championship 2024 Winner$0.00Jan 21, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?$0.00Jan 21, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMYoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?$0.00Jan 21, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMMSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $20.00Jan 21, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$180.00Jan 21, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMYoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?$13.16Jan 21, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$170.10Dec 4, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?$12.20Dec 4, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $18.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 02:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.