Shameless-Bail
0xf4f2c27643eac1acdf0046fda290663d3444babd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-279.74
Realised
$21.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
$BTC dips below $50k before October?
10200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-20.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
2188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?
703 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?
515 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
326 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will $BTC reach 75k before October?
182 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Polymarket Parlay - NFL Week 1
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$10.00Jan 1, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?$50.00Jan 1, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden pardon Diddy?$3.39Dec 4, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$15.00Dec 4, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$35.00Nov 21, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$52.97Nov 21, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$10.00Nov 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$10.00Nov 14, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$20.00Nov 14, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$98.94Nov 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$20.00Nov 13, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$50.00Nov 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$36.80Nov 12, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$10.00Nov 10, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$41.07Nov 9, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $22.58Oct 29, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $7.00Oct 6, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?$20.00Oct 2, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?$50.00Oct 1, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?$50.00Oct 1, 15:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $23.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 06:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".