Subtle-Assembly
0xf4f82b0ab5fc9d10108ef9fa6e26af9980b54783
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.89
Total PnL
$-17.01
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.89
$-0.01
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 360 and 379 times September 5–12?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 28 and August 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will CPJ hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.37May 20, 00:21 UTC
- REWARD$0.39May 19, 00:21 UTC
- REWARD$0.35May 18, 10:53 UTC
- REWARD$0.36May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.38May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.05May 14, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $280 September 22-28?$1.01May 14, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$7.95May 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $280 September 22-28?$1.00Sep 24, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 360 and 379 times September 5–12?$2.00Sep 12, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4500 in July?$12.00Jul 31, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$10.02Jul 31, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 28 and August 3?$1.00Jul 3, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMTwins vs. Tigers$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall before July?$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump jail Hillary Clinton?$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?$0.00Jul 2, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".