Lighthearted-Marsh
0xf4ffb251e00b3241341a20ab686226db5c365101
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-216.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 22?
193 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?
165 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- YES
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $54 Week of March 30 2026?
136 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?
135 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 6?
134 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 20?
133 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
113 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 26?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 24?
101 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 3?
94 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4?$93.85Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4?$92.63Jun 4, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$86.98May 28, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$84.28May 27, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 27?$3.01May 26, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?$3.16May 25, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 24?$1.77May 24, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$86.34May 19, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$0.13May 19, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$83.71May 19, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 18?$2.57May 17, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$80.85May 9, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$78.10May 9, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$3.00May 8, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 6?$88.56May 1, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?$16.62Apr 22, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?$16.62Apr 22, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$15.60Apr 14, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$15.60Apr 14, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?$5.78Apr 13, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $21.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.