Youthful-Diaper
0xf4ffd2e879ea504a91814f4fbf5b9abbb96fbbdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$4.33
Total PnL
$-27.45
Realised
$8.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
399 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.99
$-1.23
- YES
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
15 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.34
$-0.16
- YES
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
121 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
47 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$2.30Mar 10, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$2.78Jan 2, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by December 31?$1.00Dec 5, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 4, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 3, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$1.50Nov 28, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: AI Edition$1.06Nov 25, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.98Nov 25, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 25, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$3.08Nov 21, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.12Nov 19, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.04Nov 19, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Nov 19, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?$1.00Nov 19, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$0.43Nov 12, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$1.00Nov 8, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.10Nov 5, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$1.00Oct 30, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Fascist" or "Fascism" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?$1.00Oct 22, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".