Vivacious-Permafrost
0xf5168e2a67bd303cf894158535ef5e2d8db1d52d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$92.09
Total PnL
$-14.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?
92 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$92.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 9?
1210 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?
1145 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $210 October 27-November 2?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?$92.01Jun 6, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 26?$1.00Jun 6, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 27?$1.20Jun 6, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$90.09Jun 6, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$90.00May 26, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 26?$1.00May 26, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 27?$1.20May 26, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$92.09May 26, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$92.00May 21, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$92.09May 21, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$92.01May 15, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 10?$1.00May 15, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$1.10May 15, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 10?$1.10May 15, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 10?$1.20May 15, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 10?$1.20May 15, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 11?$1.30May 15, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on May 10?$1.30May 15, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$84.08May 15, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$84.00May 10, 07:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $53.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 11:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.