Useful-Playroom
0xf51e428f13c664e26e033853e355e7bf6b1d5ac0
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$114.51
Total PnL
$0.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
24 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$24.18
$0.14
- NO
Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.14
$0.14
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.08
$0.08
- YES
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$10.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$24.03Feb 27, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 27, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$20.00Feb 27, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$20.00Feb 27, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?$20.00Feb 27, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?$20.00Feb 27, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.03Feb 27, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.04Feb 27, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.22Feb 27, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell federally charged in 2025?$13.70Feb 27, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMFed abolished in 2025?$20.02Feb 27, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMECB rate cut in 2025?$20.02Feb 27, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell federally charged in 2025?$13.69Dec 30, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed abolished in 2025?$20.00Dec 30, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB rate cut in 2025?$20.00Dec 30, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.00Dec 30, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.00Dec 30, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Dec 30, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?$33.53Dec 30, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$40.08Dec 30, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $26.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.