Creamy-Geology
0xf524bfb554fc488324dafe01ce36178156c38178
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-707.28
Realised
$-224.95
Win rate
29%
106 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
581 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.55
$-9.01
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
179 shares @ 10.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$39.48
$21.54
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
332 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$31.56
$-1.66
- YES
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
367 shares @ 9.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.22
$-4.43
- YES
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
399 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.96
$-6.99
- YES
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
347 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.53
$-2.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
423 shares @ 8.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.48
$-8.11
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
433 shares @ 6.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.80
$-5.77
- YES
LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?
379 shares @ 6.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$17.07
$-8.10
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
181 shares @ 9.5¢·now 9.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.07
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?$2.00Jun 13, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$1.70Jun 13, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?$0.58Jun 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Finals: Wemby to Break Single-Game Finals Blocks Record?$0.96Jun 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cody Gakpo win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.20Jun 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.20Jun 13, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.20Jun 13, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$0.35Jun 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$5.64Jun 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets with Putin by June 30?$0.90Jun 13, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$4.65Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.60Jun 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.62Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $148 in June?$1.60Jun 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$1.20Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$8.34Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$5.00Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$3.19Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?$3.30Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 106 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.