Ordinary-Arrow
0xf5294ed3dd1bd7bd0d5aac111958da0d4eb14fc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.4K
Realised
$-811.88
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23?
10859 shares @ 88.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-9.6K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?
6350 shares @ 87.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
858 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-150.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
725 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.66
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
708 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-413.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
705 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-138.50
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
625 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.68
- YES
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
504 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-65.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
338 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-172.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
234 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-34.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$9.54Jan 12, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$5.60Jan 9, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$19.55Jan 8, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$3.45Jan 7, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$48.60Jan 6, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$42.50Jan 5, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$9.17Jan 2, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$3.06Jan 2, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$167.99Jan 2, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$103.91Jan 2, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$4.83Jan 2, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$8.90Jan 2, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$37.94Jan 2, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$32.08Jan 2, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$18.80Jan 2, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$4.30Jan 2, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$0.90Jan 1, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$5.57Jan 1, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by December 31?$10.00Jan 1, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$20.10Jan 1, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $135.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.